will look to cover more if they struggle to clear 7149
3
6:29 AM
And leave 1/4th open
6:29 AM
no SPY or SPX position yet
6:30 AM
7148 open
6:30 AM
7152 break
6:31 AM
this puts odds in play for means bound 7152-7166 retests
1
6:31 AM
I need about 15 mins
6:31 AM
they can retest our channel 7133-7138 area
1
6:34 AM
on 7144 break
6:34 AM
7144 hold —> 7158 area
6:34 AM
unfortunately these ranges suck for PA as you guys are well aware anyway
6:35 AM
and odds for the 20th aren’t as high as the 21st so staying stuck inside range is very probable today in the event they don’t clear the means and reach core areas @everyone so just keep this in mind
1. Purpose of the Session
You shifted away from ES slightly to:
Explore options scanning & swing trade setups
Reintroduce stock + sector rotation awareness
Blend options flow + technical structure + timing
Overall goal:
Find low-cost, high-probability option plays with good structure + timing alignment.
2. Options Scanning Framework (Key Teaching)
You walked through how you filter trades, which is actually the most important part:
Core Filters You Use:
Delta:
→ Prefer ≥ 0.5 (strong sensitivity to price)
Volume vs Open Interest:
→ You prioritize HIGH volume over OI
→ Looking for unusual activity / fresh positioning
Strike Proximity:
→ Not too far OTM
→ Ideally:
Near ATM
Or slightly ITM
Premium Price:
→ Focus on cheap contracts (high RR potential)
Spread:
→ Avoid wide spreads (bad fills)
Expiration Timing:
→ Aligns with expected move window
Key concept you emphasized:
“You want contracts that are cheap, active, and positioned for a move — not random lotto.”
6:51 AM
This was the part on $POET
2
6:55 AM
Trade Logic (Very Important)
You explained how to actually think about the trade:
Example Logic:
Structural hold → ~6.07–6.10
Current price → ~7.06 (key level)
Break trigger → ~7.38
Target → ~7.90+ first target
→8.54-8.68
→9.70-9.80
Insight:
Cheap options → large % returns on small moves
Safer play = ATM strike (e.g., $7)
Riskier = OTM (higher reward)
6. Timing Alignment (BIG EDGE)
You tied everything to time windows:
Many contracts align with:
Mid → End of April
Expiry clusters:
Weekly
End of month
Early May
Your takeaway:
Flow + time = NOT random → coordinated positioning
6:55 AM
we can look for ranges above to the 11-12 spots we discussed
short continuation is still the same, on breaks beneath 7116-7120 -->> 7106-7110-7114 for starters with higher odds the second round near 7098-7106 if we don't hold
_ms_izzy — Yesterday at 8:14 PM
There’s the probability IF they did stall 7140’s-7160s let’s say, they could retest 7081 and just form a slightly lower low (current low is 7085)
they held above the SPX open straddle lower BE by 4-4.25 points. interesting. 7144.50 is the upper SPX. BE today btw that is 7181 ES, so same 4 point reduction gives about 7177 area max range. I think decent odds to get back to 70-72 area today prob don't close there though
digest the zone and channel properly --> increases odds to return to 7170's-7180's ---> digest tcore areas -->> increase odds of new zone entry (7188-7232)
a few rules I've noticed:
hold bottom of zone -> look to get to top of zone
channels can clear quickly, but need to digest
means suck, watch for getting chopped out/reversed
lose bottom of zone, watch if core holds
a few rules I've noticed:
hold bottom of zone -> look to get to top of zone
channels can clear quickly, but need to digest
means suck, watch for getting chopped out/reversed
lose bottom of zone, watch if core holds
_ms_izzy
APP
— Yesterday at 4:12 PM
And it makes sense because once you start going back beneath like 20 to 23 point ratios, that's.
9:20 AM
_ms_izzy
APP
— 2026-04-08 12:22 PM
Before this time, I bet anything
that they would have broken that range to the upside,
but the exact same range that they broke this down by.
How many points is that?
23 points.
_ms_izzy — Yesterday at 5:27 PM
i'm not gonna include this in the report bu tthat gap down analogy is pretty cool considering that 83.75 pt range we discussed the previous week @everyone
_ms_izzy
i'm not gonna include this in the report bu tthat gap down analogy is pretty cool considering that 83.75 pt range we discussed the previous week @everyone
VERY IMPORTANT PATTERN
You compared current structure to:
April 10–13 sequence:
Gap down → reclaim → continuation
Current expectation:
Market may:
Push down first
Then reverse higher
Creates:
Fake weakness → real move later
if we don't clear channel by 1:30-2pm then i'll roll into tomorrow
9:35 AM
because unforunately they can spend another hour digesting 7143-7149 if they wanted to
9:35 AM
9:35 AM
9:36 AM
time specific to mid sessions andhow long we've taken to digest 7132+ so far but beneath 7144
9:36 AM
9:37 AM
overall time from channel failure to mid session
9:37 AM
this is what can keep us STUCK till 148pm-208pm - 301pm
9:38 AM
OFF 1:15 mid session - 330 pm delays
9:38 AM
UNTIL POTENTIONALLY 4PM CLOSE!
9:38 AM
it's insane
9:39 AM
9:39 AM
that would make the 301-309pm periodvital to not stay stuck
9:40 AM
those are calculated times @everyone write them down
9:42 AM
based on actual flips in relevance to highs/lows:
1:55pm
12:42/12:51/1:115pm (great alignment with mid sessions)
1:48pm (aligned with calculated time)
2:54pm (just before those 3pm intervals)
3:16pm
9:43 AM
since our lows were right at session open, any flips related to opening timing would be applicable today @everyone
18:00
2 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 12 15 16 18 20 24 30 33 36 45 48 60 72 80 90 96 120 144 160 180 240 720 360 480 288
9:44 AM
4hr stuck inside
9:44 AM
1:12pm on this flip alignment with 1:15 pm mid session
9:45 AM
same with 96
9:45 AM
also noticed its a 3-4 min differential off HOD timing and 10ams aligned with session opening flips @everyone
9:45 AM
meaning if that flips at 1:12, you could assume 3-4 min intervals prior/post
_ms_izzy — 9:56 AM
digest the zone and channel properly --> increases odds to return to 7170's-7180's ---> digest tcore areas -->> increase odds of new zone entry (7188-7232)
9:49 AM
_ms_izzy
APP
— 8:27 AM
and they completely bypass the spot that it could have digested in, which would have been this box right here.
_ms_izzy
APP
— Yesterday at 3:54 PM
Into the zone because you'd be at least trying to protect the zone, maybe digest the channel. Do you see how I'm what I'm saying, like between the 70s ratios.
9:49 AM
yesterday lol
9:50 AM
70 ratios
_ms_izzy
playing out exactly as i figured... channel digestion after stalling 7159 but holding 7120's @everyone
_ms_izzy
APP
— 2026-04-11 11:24 PM
like LCID plug. That's funny seeing me so everyone seen this in a while.
Something like this, for instance, like plugs trading at 274. These are 250 calls.
@Kri i'll answer as many questions as I can but please remember that this isn't a one on one mentorship program. it's a weekly read with some real time support
1
10:11 AM
just try to follow along
10:11 AM
today alone i've shared a ton
10:11 AM
and the PA has been accurate
10:11 AM
you're too fixated on recovering a loss...
10:12 AM
versus actually learning anything
10:12 AM
so please don't be here just to search for a miracle or something o f that sort. if you want to fully learn price/range/time then youre in the right place but it does require a lot of attention and time
10:13 AM
i'd suggest going back to read why this wasn't a short at 7k
10:13 AM
and why we longed to 7120's-7180s
10:13 AM
and why this is currently holding 7080's-7110's asi explained all night and morning
1_… — 10:42 AM
based on actual flips in relevance to highs/lows:
1:55pm
12:42/12:51/1:115pm (great alignment with mid sessions)
1:48pm (aligned with calculated time)
2:54pm (just before those 3pm intervals)
3:16pm
if they tested lets say before 2pm but made a HL above 7122 we'd likely increase odds of staying stuck insdie until 3pm aka 301pm-309pm calculated intervals and 3 hour window
10:54 AM
if they took out lows but held 7120, they can reverse back up between 2pm-4pm
Iran's Foreign Minister tells Pakistani Counterpart: The US continued violations of the ceasefire are a major obstacle to the continuation of the diplomatic process - Iranian Foreign Ministry Statement.
_ms_izzy — 7:34 AM
7144 hold —> 7158 area
_ms_izzy — 7:34 AM
on 7144 break
12:34 PM
_ms_izzy — Yesterday at 8:08 PM
the actual ranges would be the following:
ideally sustain 7081+
reclaim 7122
get back to 7144 by open
gets back odds of retesting 7186
_ms_izzy
7103-7108-7110-7114 neutralized area --->>> hold and break back to highs OR fail and break back to 7071-7078 etc
Which is aligned with our closing points of 7057-7058. It’s super calculated
7103+7186 =14,289/ 2 =7,144.5
12:36 PM
_ms_izzy — Yesterday at 8:08 PM
This is a great way to set overnight conditions @everyone
So downside ladder would look something like this:
stall 7140’s
Backrest 7122
back to neutralized spots 7103-7110
^^ this is the triggering area which can keep us back and forth as report states
7100’s being lost second time around gives higher probability or triggering 7081
7078-7081 triggers increase risk
(7102.50+7058.50 =14,161/2 =7,080.5 — 7102.50+ 7057.50 =14,160/2 =7,080) basically back to 7077-7078 closing points on the 16th/17th aka core areas)
THIS is the real test of which end wins IF we dial the channel, make sense?! It’s also the same thing as STALLING 7144-7148 PM highs ahead of making core highs in RT Friday
This then can trigger 7057-7059 area again and the legs are what I just discussed above @everyone
1. sustain 7122-7132, ideally 7133+
2. best odds are if we can sustain 7138-7144 and base above 7148-7152
3. retest 7158-7161
4. take out 7164 friday close and look for our 7166-6169 areas
On the 2D chart, we are on the 6th bar which close tomorrow. Its a inside bar. This could be the period or echaustion or epxnasion. The 7th bar will determine direction. If end up staying within the 5th bar, this has a higher a chance to expand.
On the 2D chart, we are on the 6th bar which close tomorrow. Its a inside bar. This could be the period or echaustion or epxnasion. The 7th bar will determine direction. If end up staying within the 5th bar, this has a higher a chance to expand.
_ms_izzy — 2026-04-15 9:33 PM
7131.25 (778) which is 346x3 =1038 x .75 = 778.50
7132 aka top of the zone off lows
_ms_izzy — 2026-04-15 9:16 PM
7131.25 (778) which is 346x3 =1038 x .75 = 778.50
THIS IS THE FULL MEMO TIM COOK JUST SENT TO APPLE $AAPL EMPLOYEES TALKING ABOUT HIM STEPPING DOWN AS CEO
Team,
Fifteen years ago, my friend and mentor Steve Jobs asked me to step into the role of CEO. It was an emotional and challenging moment for all of us at Apple, and I
GM
Webull Announces $100 Million Share Repurchase Program
5:40 AM
Trump on CNBC
US Pres. Trump: We're Ready To Go Militarily
Will End Up With Great Deal
-Iran Has No Choice But To Send People To Talks
-We're In Strong Negotiating Position
-We're Dealing With Them Very Successfully
-US Totally Controls Hormuz Strait
-Blockade Has Been A Success
-I Don't Want To Extend Ceasefire; We Don’t Have That Much Time
-Iran Has To Use Reason, Common Sense
-Iran Seems To Be 'Bloodthirsty'
-Iran Has Probably Done Some Restocking
2
5:44 AM
Trump: "We caught a ship yesterday that had some things on it that wasn't very nice. A gift from China perhaps, I don't know. But I was a little surprised, because I have a very good relationship and I thought I had an understanding with President Xi. But that's alright. That's the way war goes."
yes was able to listen to most of the stream its harder sometimes when im working to answer but im starting to better understand your method and point theory and its incredible
if theres any period that can allow/give a pass for staying stuck inside during a 3 bar flag break, it would be the bar before expansion/exhaustion periods
We didn’t digest 7144-7149 so we can afford heading back there. I definitely don’t want to be stuck in the channel again today however so the goal is to hold and bounce back into the 7152+ area\
8:01 AM
goal for today is 7188-7193 tests on 7140’s sustainment. Otherwise stalling core ranges again can imply retests of 7122-7128-7133 once more
If Trump is speaking at around 4 PM ET today, (3 hrs 50 mins before supposed ceasefire end), then maybe we can get something? It is Tuesday....Just saying
CHANNEL (Rest / Digestion Zone) (133–149) → 6933–6949
(Beige / Tan shaded area)
• Micros: 6933 · 6936 · 6939 · 6942 · 6945 · 6949
• Context: Market resting → volatility comes after this
1
11:15 AM
Beige / Tan Zone (Channel 133–149 type area)
• Market rests here before expansion
• Often forms ahead of macro data or open volatility windows
• Staying here = market is storing energy
hi ms izzy and gang. im back from parental leave temporarily. just saying hi. i love both the graphics. for some reason its easier for me to understand! thank u
These aren’t easy dynamics and the idea that they could hold weekly lows or just SLIGHTLY take it out and bring it back to 7122-7132-7138-7144 played out
9:35 PM
Also 21st had earliest odds of core retests
9:35 PM
22nd is 7th bar flip
9:35 PM
We’re still stuck between 7080-7188
9:36 PM
Neither end has broken
9:36 PM
It’s the same thing rinsed and repeated
9:36 PM
Volatility only increased today when 7174 stalled and 7144 failed along with 7122 followed by of course our neutral box of 7099-7114
9:36 PM
We opened 7162 so volatility was obvious
9:37 PM
Use the weekly report for opening ranges
9:37 PM
Remember they can reset mid week (tomorrow)
9:37 PM
Don’t forget everything I discussed Sunday
9:37 PM
7144 stalling so far overnight
9:39 PM
They intentionally held neutral zone into close over 7099
9:39 PM
9:39 PM
After holding 7085
9:39 PM
So they’re just rinsing and repeating guys
9:39 PM
Just follow the structural ladder(edited)
9:40 PM
7144-7164 is still volatile
9:40 PM
7175 is needed to clear
9:40 PM
9:43 PM
9:43 PM
Please read the report
9:43 PM
I went over all of this
9:44 PM
7161-7163 didn’t have the highest odds as discussed on the report which is likely why they stalled 7173
9:44 PM
9:45 PM
Plz plz plz read @everyone
9:45 PM
Majority of you today didn’t even know 7138-7144 was the 50% range…
9:45 PM
even after I went over that a dozen of times all week
9:46 PM
So ensure you know why certain areas are calculated and why opening or stalling there is important and the type of odds you can get @everyone
9:47 PM
It’s not as simple as “oh we stalled 7144 or 7160 so let’s short!!!!! @everyone
9:47 PM
There atr MULTIPLE factors which is why this week requires high attention to detail
9:49 PM
1. Structure
2. Time/flip dates = probabilities (20th had low odds = inside day, 21st earliest odds = 7085/7183 but no resolution - 22-23rd = best odds for resolution to occur
4. Understand what your areas even are in the first place
5. Current dynamics based on overnight PA
2
9:50 PM
5. Opening range and how it correlates to your odds and range
_ms_izzy
also i have a challenge lol that i need help with.. @everyone
I’ve noticed a few things recently specifically with applying the zone theory on SPX. I’ve done this in the past, but I noticed today that the
Neutral zone was linked to the channel area on ES
10:40 PM
And I’ve always, of course noticed core to core days as those are the highest probability specifically when we open up core and so on and so forth
10:41 PM
I also always track core ratios
10:41 PM
But I would love to back test channel opens for example, using the range theory
10:41 PM
10:41 PM
For instance, the channel is approximately 17 points so my thoughts would be on whether or not we move in those intervals on days where we open in the channel
10:43 PM
How do I explain this?
10:43 PM
Core areas are linked 25-50-75 for example
10:43 PM
But I’ve been finding correlations with the neutral zone to the channel, which makes sense considering a neutral zone is a neutral stance and so is the channel
10:47 PM
Whenever we have neutral opens or neutral days in the neutral zone, we almost always want to get back into the channel in order to reset or rest, correct?
10:47 PM
The channel is approximately 16 to 17 points and each zone is roughly the same
10:48 PM
which is where our 32 to 34 point ratio is come into play
10:48 PM
But I wanna also look at the full differential range
10:48 PM
7149-7100 for instance
10:48 PM
7148.50-7099 =49.5
10:49 PM
Also, it would be relative to whether or not the bear neutral and bull neutral zones are included
10:50 PM
So 4-5 pts on each end (7095-7119 for instance)
10:50 PM
7119-7095 =24
10:50 PM
These make sense of those mid range
10:50 PM
7119-7099 =20
10:50 PM
20+17 =37
10:51 PM
24+17 =41
10:51 PM
I noticed today many 36-37 pt intervals
10:57 PM
Like let’s say today although we didn’t open in the channel and instead in the means, since the range is similar it could be applicable here too
11:00 PM
7162.50 open:
7162.50-36/37 pts =7,126.5/7125.50
7162.50+36 =7,198.5
7162.50-41 =7,121.5
So let’s say overhead is 7198 and support is 7121/7126
11:00 PM
7121-36 =7,085
11:00 PM
7126-41 =7,085
11:00 PM
today’s lows
11:00 PM
7085+ 37 =7,122
11:01 PM
Today’s close….
11:01 PM
7085+ 41 =7,126
11:01 PM
Roughly today’s open
11:01 PM
7122/7125
11:02 PM
Thoughts?
11:03 PM
This is interesting too because zone is 44 pts and each segment 17 pts = 61 pts